The 2016 Republican Presidential Primaries have certainly had many twists and turns on the way to a ‘presumptive nominee.’ Yet, unlike most primary seasons, in recent years, there continues to be a faction of politicians and voters that either flat-out refuse or are apprehensive to support the presumptive nominee, this time, Donald Trump.
There are some talking of starting up a third party, others that talk of switching to the Libertarian Party candidate and others that claim they would support the Democratic Party candidate over Donald Trump. These ‘Republicans,’ many that claim to be conservatve, are playing a dangerous game with continued socialism, the system/ideology they claim to want to stop.
Well, I do not empathize with those Republicans that did not have their choice, of the sixteen other candidates, make it to ‘presumptive nominee’ status. Over the years, I have had some of my primary choices lose or drop out before I could vote for them. In each case, except 1976, I have supported and voted for the eventual nominee.
Going back to 1972, I was 19 years old and was registered independent. Therefore, I could not vote in a party primary in CA. Between the conventions and the general election that year, I had my epiphany about the dishonesty of the Democratic Party after seeing McGovern tell differing positions on several different topics, each night on the news, depending on who he was giving a speech to. He sounded like Nixon if he was talking to a Chamber of Commerce. Then he sounded like Bernie Sanders does today, when talking to a labor union or at a college campus. He was lying to someone or everyone. I found Nixon’s message to be consistent and that is an attribute that I perceived a leader should have. But then, after a couple of years, the first president I had voted for resigned. Nice impression, like what’s the point of voting.
In 1976, I was in Air Force technical school, near Denver, Colorado, and as California was my home state, I recall giving up trying to vote in that circumstance. I learned a lesson from that when Carter was elected. Serving during his presidency was probably similar to what those serving now are experiencing, under Obama. Parts shortages and a feeling that your leadership cares more about social engineering than the primary mission.
When 1980 came around, I had already seen Ronald Reagan’s November 13, 1979 televised announcement that he would be seeking the Office of the Presidency (https://youtu.be/fAtYMD-H2UY). After seeing that, there was nothing that his primary opponents, George H. W. Bush or John Anderson could have said to make a difference.
Again, in 1984, Ronald Reagan was the choice and was unopposed in the primaries.
1988 was a different story. I already thought of G.H.W. Bush as a bureaucrat turned politician and was looking for a more conservative voice. I thought that voice was Jack Kemp. However, by the time of the CA primary, Mr. Kemp was no long running. Bob Dole and Pat Robertson had also dropped out by then. The lie G.H.W. Bush told, during his convention nomination acceptance speech, sealed our fate in 1992. Only two years after his, ‘read my lips, no new taxes’ pledge, he made a deal with the Democratic Party controlled Congress which raised taxes and cast him as untrustworthy.
When 1992 came along, incumbent George H. W. Bush was damaged enough that a few serious candidates would make primary runs. The two most notable were Pat Buchanan and Ross Perot. Buchanan hammered away at the the Bush tax increases and by the time his campaign was suspended, he had over two million votes. Ross Perot opted to run as an independent, after dropping out, and was a contributing factor of the Bush loss in the general election.
For the 1996 Republican primaries, several candidates threw their hat in the ring. Two candidates I was interested in were Steve Forbes and Pat Buchanan. I had moved from CA to GA the previous year and was able to vote on March 5, dubbed, ‘Super Tuesday.’ Following Super Tuesday, both Buchanan and Forbes suspended their campaigns. Bob Dole won 46 contested caucasus and primaries and became the nominee to go against the incumbent president. Ross Perot ran again, this time as the newly formed Reform Party candidate, but did not have much impact on the outcome this time around.
The 2000 Republican primary slate started out with several candidates. Steve Forbes started a strong second to George W. Bush in Iowa and tied him in Alaska, Forbes dropped out after weaker showings in New Hampshire, then Delaware. John McCain won seven primaries but dropped out on March 9th, after winning only four of the thirteen primaries held on March 7th. The establishment again had their candidate in George W. Bush.
In 2004, the Republican Party did not have any serious challengers to the incumbent president, George W. Bush. He was again the party nominee, winning 56 contests.
2008 started with a relatively large crop of candidates. However, there were many early withdrawals of the most significant challengers in January and February. Mitt Romney’s February 7th announcement at CPAC, that he was withdrawing a week before the DC, Maryland and Virginia primaries, was all John McCain needed. McCain had the nomination wrapped up by March 4th. The establishment had their candidate.
For the 2012 Republican Presidential primaries, the first candidate to declare, back in mid April 2011, ended up as the Libertarian Party’s nominee. Most other candidates dropped out either before or just after the Iowa and New Hampshire contests. This left two conservatives, a moderate and a libertarian as candidates. At the end, Mitt Romney, the moderate, became the nominee.
And now we have the ongoing 2016 Republican Presidential primaries. With the largest field of major party candidates in memory, seventeen in all, it was impossible for any one candidate to gain traction with a majority. But, as the field began to dwindle, two candidates emerged as the frontrunners. Eventually, Donald Trump broke through 50%, leaving him as the last active candidate and declared, by the Chairman of the Republican National Commitee, as the ‘presumptive nominee’ of the party on May 3rd.
Including the year before I was born, the track record for ‘establishment’ liberal to moderate Republican nominees in the general elections, going back to 1952, has seen both success and failure. Successes include Dwight Eisenhower in 1952 and 1956, Richard Nixon in 1968 and 1972, George H. W. Bush in 1988 and George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004. On the other side of the coin, Gerald Ford lost in 1976, George H. W. Bush lost in 1992, Bob Dole lost in 1996, John McCain lost in 2008 and Mitt Romney lost in 2012. The only truly successful president we have had was Ronald Reagan, not a favorite of the ‘establishment,’ as a center-right candidate who finally broke through with Republican voters on his third attempt in 1980.
While those that have declared ‘NeverTrump’ predominately claim to be conservative, and are still talking about running a third party candidate, either as an independent or Libertarian, these anti-Trump, ‘NeverTrump,’ voters had better take a long hard look at 1992. Many self proclaimed conservatives went with Ross Perot after he dropped out of the Republican primaries. The net affect was to hand the presidency to the Democratic Party candidate, Bill Clinton. With this knowledge in hand, the ‘NeverTrump’ voters appear to me to be Hillary Clinton supporters and aren’t simply out to derail Trump. They are really after a liberal Supreme Court in conjunction with a big spending administration. These people are no conservatives, but rather are fools.
Trump’s winning percentages follow, through the Indiana primary, shown with the number of active candidates (there may have been suspended campaign candidates still on most states ballots). Losses to Ted Cruze and John Kasich are not shown. Trump’s winning percentages have gone up as the number of opposing candidates has gone down.
The information source was the New York Times election page at: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results
Update: May 10, 2016 election:
Nebraska-61.4%; 1 active candidate, 5+ on the ballot
West Virginia-77%; 1 active candidate, 6+ on the ballot
Through May 3, 2016
Indiana-53.3% 3 candidates
Delaware-60.8% 3 candidates
Maryland-54.4% 3 candidates
Mississippi-47.3% 3 candidates
New York-60.4% 3 candidates
Arizona-47.1% 3+ candidates
Pennsylvania-56.7% 3+ candidates
Rhode Island-63.8% 3+ candidates
Connecticut-57.9% 3+ candidates
Michigan-36.5% 4+ candidates
North Carolina-40.2% 4+ candidates
Louisiana-41.4% 4+ candidates
Florida-45.7% 4+ candidates
Hawaii-43.4% 4+ candidates
Illinois-38.8% 4+ candidates
Kentucky-35.9% 4+ candidates
Missouri-40.0% 4+ candidates
Massachusetts-49.3% 5+ candidates
Vermont-32.7% 5+ candidates
Georgia-38.8% 5+ candidates
Arkansas-32.8% 5+ candidates
Alabama-43.4% 5+ candidates
Nevada-45.9% 5+ candidates
Tennesee-38.9% 5+ candidates
Virginia-34.7% 5+ candidates
South Carolina-32.5% 6 candidates
New Hampshire-35.3% 6+ candidates
I am growing extremely tired of Republicans that didn’t get one of the other 16 failed candidates as the 2016 Presidential nominee. For those of you that really don’t know what Donald Trump’s positions are, and haven’t bothered to find out, Trump’s positions are found here: https://www.donaldjtrump.com/positions
Speaker Ryan said that Donald Trump needs to unify the party, yet Ryan himself is standing in the way of unification. Maybe, after he meets with Donald Trump next week, he will find more ‘conservatism’ in Mr. Trump’s positions than he is expecting. Time will tell.
Tara Ross asks, “Do you understand the Electoral College?”
For me, there are only two things worth watching on any NBC channel. NASCAR and F1 coverage. Other than that, everything else they do seems to be DNC or CPUSA certified. Regressive politics, lost in a 19th Century mindset, using 20th Century Alinsky tactics, in the 21st Century.
Posted on March 1, 2015
Filed Under Union Strikes | Leave a Comment
Today’s (3/1/2015) national average for a gallon of unleaded regular, shown on the AAA Daily Fuel Gauge Report, is $2.414 ( http://fuelgaugereport.aaa.com/ ).
Unleaded regular averaged $1.89 /gal around town on 1/31/2015, in Manassas, VA (two cents more than the national average on 1/20/2009).
The next day (2/1/2015), the United Steelworkers (USW) went on strike against nine significant US refineries. Negotiations with Shell (who lead the refiners group, including Marathon and others) continued breaking down on successive days, with union votes failing to pass offers made by the refinery group. The day after the strike began, the prices around Manassas, were already back up to around $2.00 /gal. Around a week to 10 days into it, two more refineres were struck. Unleaded regular had risen to an average of $2.15, here around Manassas. On 2/18/2015, an Exxon Mobil refinery, in Torrance, CA, has a blow out with a fire. By 2/20/2015, prices around Manassas climbed to $2.25. By 2/27/2015, 15 refineries ( 20% of US refineries) were under strike by the USW. As of 3/1/2015, prices here in Manassas are still $2.25 to $2.29.
A strike cronology follows:
3/4/2015; Waiting for next meeting
2/27/2015; UPDATE 1-Union, Shell to resume talks in U.S. refinery strike on March 4
2/23/2015; No talks expected this week in refinery strike: sources
2/21/2015; UPDATE 2-U.S. refinery strike widens to include nation’s largest refinery
2/19/15; Union rejects contract offer from oil companies in U.S. refinery strike -sources
2/18/2015; UPDATE 2-U.S. refinery strike passes 18th day but talks resume
2/18/2015; Refinery blast sprays ash, forces students to shelter in place
2/16/2015; USW leader: U.S. refinery strike could spread over safe staffing
2/9/2015; Union says U.S. refinery strike widened; cites unfair labor practices
2/5/2015; Union rejects sixth refinery offer from Shell, talks recess
2/2/2015; UPDATE 3-Strike by U.S. refinery workers extends to 2nd day
‘”In the short term, the strikes are definitely driving prices up,” said Phil Flynn of Price Futures Group in Chicago. U.S. gasoline and diesel fuel prices rose on Monday on concerns over supply, as well as a bounce in U.S. benchmark crude to about $50 a barrel.’
1/31/2015; UPDATE 2-Union refinery workers prepare for Sunday strike as talks continue
TPNN | Has Bergdahl Been Charged with Desertion Yet? – Announcement Forthcoming | posting by MikesView
While some from Bergdahl’s Army unit thought he might be a traitor, the indication was he should at least be charged with desertion. Looks like he has been.
Posted on December 12, 2014
Filed Under Progressives | Leave a Comment
December 11, 2014
“Leftist lynch mobs rioting in Ferguson, marching through Manhattan and screaming in Oakland assert that the presumption of innocence doesn’t apply to police officers or white Hispanics. Their poses of victimization with their cries of “Black lives matter” and “I can’t breathe” disguise what they really are.”
FrontPage Magazine | Leftist Lynch Mobs from Ferguson to Rolling Stone by Daniel Greenfield.
December 7, 2014
“My general impression is that many of the protestors had little grasp of either the details of the incidents in Ferguson and New York, or of the violent intent of the revolutionaries who seek to spread chaos and unrest. They were probably genuinely surprised to learn that police could and would lawfully deploy force and declare a gathering illegal once violence was used by demonstrators.”
Video from day 1:
“Whaddya got?” ~ The Wild One – What are you rebelling against? (‘53)
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